Sector Analysis
2026-06-05 20:19
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Thai market view: Goldman sees SpaceX AI revenue topping 100x by 2030
Summary:From a Thai IPO perspective, Goldman sees SpaceX's AI revenue rising from $3.2 billion in 2025 to $322 billion in 2030, about 100x. Free cash flow turns positive in 2031 and tops $72 billion.
## Goldman forecast: SpaceX AI revenue could rise about 100x by 2030
According to the Financial Times, Goldman Sachs told a potential investor that SpaceX's artificial intelligence (AI) unit revenue is expected to surge from $3.2 billion in 2025 to $322 billion in 2030, up about 100x.
## Timeline: AI operating revenue keeps rising in 2026-27
Goldman expects SpaceX's AI unit operating revenue to reach $15.6 billion in 2026, up 3.9% year on year, and $34.5 billion in 2027.
## Total revenue growth: could reach $474 billion in 2030
Goldman also estimates that SpaceX's total revenue will rise from $18.7 billion last year to $474 billion in 2030.
## Evercore ISI view: AI sales could hit $755 billion in 2031
Evercore ISI analysts also expect SpaceX's AI unit sales to reach $755 billion by 2031; last year that figure was only $3.2 billion, implying a 234x increase. The outlook for sharp AI revenue growth could help support SpaceX's target valuation of as much as $1.8 trillion.
## Free cash flow path: turns positive in 2031 after a 2029 trough
Goldman's team also expects SpaceX free cash flow to bottom at negative $105 billion in 2029 before turning positive in 2031 and exceeding $72 billion.
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Sector Analysis
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